Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.002602 0.002773 0.002957 0.003171 0.003414 0.003685 0.004012
2025-01-19 0.002344 0.002577 0.002842 0.003172 0.003577 0.004071 0.004735
2025-01-26 0.002067 0.002311 0.002598 0.002970 0.003450 0.004070 0.004970
2025-02-02 0.001960 0.002228 0.002555 0.002995 0.003593 0.004419 0.005734
2025-02-09 0.001904 0.002198 0.002568 0.003084 0.003826 0.004925 0.006874
2025-02-16 0.001829 0.002135 0.002529 0.003097 0.003947 0.005283 0.007897
2025-02-23 0.001799 0.002127 0.002559 0.003205 0.004219 0.005939 0.009790
2025-03-02 0.001722 0.002051 0.002490 0.003158 0.004241 0.006165 0.010889
2025-03-09 0.001643 0.001966 0.002402 0.003076 0.004191 0.006246 0.011678
2025-03-16 0.001616 0.001950 0.002410 0.003139 0.004392 0.006865 0.014498
2025-03-23 0.001588 0.001931 0.002411 0.003190 0.004580 0.007515 0.018319
2025-03-30 0.001539 0.001880 0.002362 0.003154 0.004602 0.007792 0.021136
2025-04-06 0.001471 0.001803 0.002274 0.003055 0.004505 0.007798 0.022942
2025-04-13 0.001431 0.001764 0.002241 0.003046 0.004588 0.008300 0.029508
2025-04-20 0.001349 0.001660 0.002106 0.002856 0.004282 0.007675 0.026129
2025-04-27 0.001324 0.001639 0.002095 0.002878 0.004416 0.008325 0.036683
2025-05-04 0.001315 0.001640 0.002119 0.002961 0.004691 0.009548 0.074183
2025-05-11 0.001291 0.001618 0.002104 0.002973 0.004812 0.010355 0.166864
2025-05-18 0.001287 0.001624 0.002135 0.003073 0.005157 0.012282 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001254 0.001587 0.002093 0.003030 0.005147 0.012725 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001216 0.001540 0.002035 0.002954 0.005044 0.012677 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001207 0.001537 0.002046 0.003012 0.005297 0.014681 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001195 0.001530 0.002052 0.003059 0.005534 0.017013 NaN